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#21
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Schalit could be changed by 1000 terrorists, imagine an IDF commando inside of Iran if a single soldier is captured!! what a nightmare. What do you think? that the revolutionary guard won´t take care of the instalations? Commandos would be deployed from subs for recon and intelligence, and they are already there. We are talking without to consider an involvement of the USA but the will take part on it. B2 Bombers casting a 30.000pounds MOP |
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#22
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With the current administration I am not convinced the United States would participate in any type of strike on Iran. As much as it chaps my behind to say it I just don't think Obama has the testicular fortitude to do this. Now if Iran blatantly attacked U.S. forces or facilities I think a squadron of fighter/bombers would be dispatched before the dust settled. But I think that right now this is what it is going to take to involve the U.S. in any kind of forceful action against Iran.
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#23
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the Security Conference in Munique this month I became the impression that USA, France , England and Germany are trying to get the support and agreement of China and Russia in order to go further in the measurements against Iran.
When even Germany says "any attack against Israel will be against Germany as well" (imagine that) and "A nuclear Iran is unacceptable". I don´t have any doubt that it has been said in agreement and consultation with USA and the others. Many people continue to "paint" Obama as coward. I think, he knows NOW much better about the US foreign politics as at the beginning and has learnt that some problems must be tackled. (he himself said recently that sometimes war is necessary to achieve peace) he is getting smarter and many can´t see it When USA and its NATO allies manage to gain Russia and China on board, well then, Israel won´t need to attack alone. Otherwise Israel will use the right to defend itself from the destruction. Commands? maybe yes. But much much later after a devastating air strike. |
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#24
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I doubt very much that Obama will use any sort of preemptive strike against Iran's nuclear facility. Yet, this has nothing to do with his politics. Bush also previously refused not to only aid Israel in such a quest, but even refusing to support an Israeli strike itself. I think this has less to do with who's in the Oval Office, and more with the state of the US. A weakening economy, and a military that is already under heavy pressure, another conflict is the last thing this country needs. The War in Iraq and to a lesser extent, Afghanistan, has turned the majority of Americans away from carrying a "big stick" policy. After 8 years of war, the last thing the American population is going to support is an American strike on Iran IMO. So this is why I advocate that Israel begin to rely less on America, and begin to take this threat seriously by its own. The world is going to wait for Israel to act alone, AGAIN, because it does not want to get its hands dirty. In the end however, I can only foresee forced American involvement. After the Israeli strike, no doubt Iran will lash out against American forces. The second one American life is lost to Iran, you can bet all hell is going to break loose. Then, the world's streets will yet again light up with anti-Israel/America riots, and I fear for the safety of Jews everywhere.
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#25
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Both Reuters and Haaretz have articles about certain statements made by Dan Halutz:
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Thoughts, anyone ?
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#26
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I think that Israel would have to stand aside i.e Not attacking Iran.
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#27
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First i think that diplomatic solution is best-U.N offered uranium to be enriched in russia but iranian's REFUSED!!! So while developing ballistic missiles thus haveing secret Nuclear program...i mean a little baby would know that Iran is prepearing for obtaining nuclear weapon.(It is important to note that U.S or NATO intervention would be considered as a message to other countries(Syria,Libya...maybe Chavez would like nuke's too) Because WMD's proliferation is enough,thus U.S saw the mistake with N.Korea so Iranians think hey..bad american's didn't attack N.Korea why would they attack us... I supouse you allready know about US Bush administration plan for use of B61-mod 11 bomb from 1966,it has more mod's with more powerfull yield..now modify with depleted Uranim in order to get more deep penetration it yield is 10 kilotons-delivered by B-2.(Mod 11 is 10kt yield). But many of anti nuclear lobby says NP will not be capable to destroy Natanz or Qom,and other sites of Iran nuclear program.... But also Israel is not to paranoid to use nuclear weapons...because the result will be mass attack on israel with biochemical weapons thus hezbollah will Get Sarin or Soman.. Thus keep in mind that Isreal air force would be under serious threat of Iranian SAM(tor-m1-this is hardcore SAM for defending strategic targets+mobile...SA-10-chinese version there are rumor's iran has own versions...) and would loss much of it's fleet,also GBU's(exception we have) are not option because in order to destroy such undergroun facilities Israel would have to hit minimum 13 times at the same spot(and this is not sure) thus B-61 is not heavy enough to penetrate....(this underground structures are build to withstand attack)thus mod 11 has a parachute. Here is what i was waiting for years because This can handle the problem with lobotomy in Iran(but Obama is such a p**y that he could not take responsability....if bush was still president i guarantee that Iran would be solved-but he cant' be candidate for third time) This program started in early 90,then was stopped in 97 but proceed in 99... That revelation came a month after the Pentagon had asked Congress to shift money to speed up the MOP program, although U.S. And other intelligence agencies had suspected for years that Iran was still hiding at least one nuclear development site. Quote:
[IMG] [/IMG]note how powerfull is MOP!! Anyway the Pentagon has brought forward to December 2009 the target-date for producing the first 15-ton super bunker-buster bomb (GBU-57A/B) Massive Ordinance Penetrator, which can reach a depth of 60.09 meters underground before exploding. The Pentagon has ordered the number of bombs rolling off the production line increased from four to ten - a rush job triggered in May by the discovery that Iran was hiding a second uranium enrichment plant under a mountain near Qom. Congress has since quietly inserted the necessary funding in the 2009 budget. Pentagon administration has been preparing military muscle to back up the international condemnation of Iran's concealed nuclear bomb program, its sanctions threat and his willingness to join the negotiations with Iran opening on Oct. 1 in Geneva. iran may have to take into account a possible one-time surgical strike against its underground enrichment facility as a warning shot should its defiance continue. In particular, the world powers this week demanded that Iran open up all its nuclear facilities and programs to full and immediate international inspection. Failure to do so could bring forth further US action-which is the best option Pressed into service are two US Air Force research centers for work on adapting the radar-evading stealth bomber to the giant bomb: t[b]he Air Force Research Laboratory at ********* Pentagon had decided to accelerate the production of 10-12 giant bunker buster bombs in response to intelligence received of Iranian and North Korean underground nuclear plants-for MOP are spent more than 50 billion US dollars And it's ready(but i said,a doubt in Obama....)i'm asking myself WHO could sign a surgical attack with 4 or 6 B-2 and destroy Iran nuclear program(anyway B-61 is good for iranian uranium mines-in order to make it contaminated)... Here is GBU-57 in B-2 [IMG] [/IMG]and natanz is not tottaly but 40% of it is well known to US inteligence. [IMG] [/IMG]A normal war is not possible because it would need to US minimum one milion soldiers,thus more MBT,and Carrier group's(they are on risk-iran is developing suicide mini sub,and also suicide fast UAV,also anti-ship missile are a threat(but hey Phalanx and Sea RAM are here :) )...and that kind of war would cost much. If Israel would like to(Ground) attack Iran then it must have logistic from Iraq,in order to attack with airplanes and to deploy special forces near facilty it would cost israel minimum 3000 victims in life force loss of transport choppers and it just could slow the iranian program NOT DESTROY IT. Here are possible defense ground positions in natanz ![]() Thus if israel attack it would break it's international credibility and if US attack(i mean ground) keep in mind terrain in Iran and fanatics,my point is Iran is not Iraq..just desert so it would be a long fight... The best option is GBU-57 actually i would like this to happen,it's good for iranians,they will understood that sometimes when you play with fire you can burn yourself-Thus their Nprogram would be GONE 4ever,and with help of CIA and iranian intellectuals maybe the fundamentalist regime after this as i like to say B-2 version would fall(about falling i'm not sure but the program will END and iranian president or their spirit leader would end like romanian dictator Chaushesku. Last edited by Raytheon; 02-23-2010 at 02:03 AM.. |
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#28
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No easy hope or lies Shall bring us to our goal But iron sacrifice Of body, will, and soul. - For All We Have and Are (Rudyard Kipling) |
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#29
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Because there will not be NEXT regime,but Iran will no longer be Islamic Republic.
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You think there is somebody Psyho sick anough to Nuke Israel with just similar to N.Korea 10 kiloton yield WITHOUT thinking that after that TEHERAN would just simply EVAPORATE...and if Israel Hit's Iranian reactor there will be a looot of Radiation and contamination...even USA will not allow such thing(their forces in Iraq)... Thus there is sign ? if Iran Succed to deliver the nuke in Israel(keep in mind that Israel Has Arrow ABM which is one of the best ABM defense in the world,thus it can be conneced to Patriot Pac-3(proven...arrow hit real Scud in test in USA,and a repliva of Sahab-3...I don't think that Iran is BM threat to Israel(Also here are in persian gulf AEGIS BMD's with SM-3(proven ABM)...And i dont like too ayatolah but they MUST keep Iranians under propaganda in order to stay in their comfort chair... Also REAL threat from Iran is The great possibility hesbolah or other terrorist to get Highly radioactive materials or G-type.... That's why i want this regime DOWN,and also END of Iranian nuclear Program. About this 40%...as you said... Well before 2007 there were several inspection's from IAEA-what do you think how much of inspectors were REAL inspectors and how much of them were CIA agent's or any other operatives? |
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#30
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![]() Think of Chernobyl, the worst ever nuclear disaster, level 7 disaster, FOUR HUNDRED times the potency of ww2 atom bombings, how much area was contaminated to the extent of causing serious dosage of radiation? Thirty kilometers. That was of a much, much larger scale, and much less protected and insulated than a military installation btw, the Iranian reactors won't even come close. I don't know which science fiction novels you are getting your "facts" from but a crippling raid on Iranian nuclear sites will not lead to a nuclear winter over the neighbouring countries, or whatever you have in mind. Not even close. Quote:
So basically you want to escalate the scenario to attacking only when Israel is already attacked and Iran has a credible nuke ****nal instead of making full use of your capability and advantage while you still have it. Quote:
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Do you realise the leading opposition members, the one who'd actually come to power if it ever was to happen, ALSO support the nuclear program?http://www.presstv.ir/detail.aspx?id...onid=351020101 Quote:
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No easy hope or lies Shall bring us to our goal But iron sacrifice Of body, will, and soul. - For All We Have and Are (Rudyard Kipling) |
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#31
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great to see some people do get that |
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#32
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Yeah, the Green movement in Iran is primarily driven by domestic issues. When it comes to Israel, well, I'd imagine that is a bipartisan issue for the Iranians. Despite that, while a strike is needed, it will not be the end of this struggle. As the years go by, and technology advances and knowledge becomes more attainable, more and more countries will have the know how on how to build a nuclear bomb if they so wish. While a strike on Iran will no doubt set the Iranians nuclear program back, it will not completely eleminate it. It will only buy us more time to find another solution. For me, it is highly unlikely that Israel will remain the sole nuclear power in the Middle East by the end of the next 50 years, and most certainly by the end of this century. There is only so much a military solution can provide, a more permanent alternative must be found to ensure the total security of the Jewish state.
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#33
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This is all due to China's stupidity and lack of mature foresight. In an effort to thwart India, they gave nuclear tech to Pakistan, a seriously unstable Islamic country. Pakistan further shared much of this info with Iran, Libya (gave up WMD's now, also gave up documents which demonstrated wth Pakistan had been up to), Iraq (didn't pursue it through) and North Korea (already had a fledgling program). Pakistani nuclear scientists have in the past been arrested for having links with Al Queda and Taliban. You see where I am going with this?
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No easy hope or lies Shall bring us to our goal But iron sacrifice Of body, will, and soul. - For All We Have and Are (Rudyard Kipling) |
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#34
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There is not widespread support across the political spectrum for a nuclear war with Israel. I believe that stable deterrence could exist between Israel and an Iran ruled by the Green movement. BUT . . . even here, the possibility of a return of the radical Islamicists will make this deterrence less than ideal.
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#35
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and than Operation opera started(keep in mind the route of Israeli planes and tell me was there any SAM) Here Saudian's Helped Thus aircraft's were refueling. Iran has at least 2 working Sattellte in orbit(they have agreement with N.Korea)..plus the new one launched recently....so if something is going on....they will KNOW plus This is not a game like red alert back in the time's visit(center for strategic and international studies ) http://csis.org/ Fir'st Iranian defense Aircraft's (Mirage,MIG-29 F-5.+75 Iraq planes Su-25,Mig-23,29 and many Mirage's...in not too bad condition.+SAM..also Busehr is heavy defended buy concentrated SAM including HAWK..and other system's ups TOR-m1 also is here...and that system...simply kick asses because it's designed for DEFENDING Targets like Reactor's,stockpiles,building's e.t.c [IMG] [/IMG]after this check this(before 4 or 6 years's) Quote:
Which now unfortunately IT HAD this System's also the plane's...well put a finger and think... [IMG] [/IMG]see this (called optimistic variant) [IMG] [/IMG]and [IMG] [/IMG]+ [IMG] [/IMG]and the real variant...according to FAS is contamination of part's of Russia(i don't think they will allow this) Also Shia part of Iraq over 35%(USA will not allow this-they have Army in Iraq)....Thus if we consider the N-fission(without control)...then...i pray this not to happen. therefore think twice before saying something without fact's... Quote:
[IMG] [/IMG]So now you are not missing...i hope. Also Expert's saw in iraq Quote:
Thus as i said about natanz and Qam Quote:
![]() ![]() this is from federation of american scientist(fas) and Globalsecurity http://www.fas.org/blog/ssp/2009/08/...t-all-mean.php ![]() Quote:
Yeah,and the earth was replaced...it's slow but the worst part is that Soviet Soldiers were sent there without any NHB protection. Knaur i WROTE Quote:
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About my fact's...Human's have the gift TO LEARN. Most of them are dead by now...i learned this for Nuclear decontamination...near 1 meter of All soil was replaced.(but you really don't take factor's like weather,terrain...)... ![]() Last edited by Raytheon; 03-02-2010 at 11:05 PM.. |
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